Catching the Monster in tomorrow's race...
Like Pulling a Rabbit From a Hat?
Don't You Believe It!
Tips 'n Touts
Caveat emptor ...
Remember now - This is horse racing!
We're not gonna be right EVERY TIME.
And, above all... keep your sense of humor!
149th Belmont Stakes - Belmont Park - Saturday, June 10, 2017
Handicap - The 2017 Belmont:
With half of this Belmont field participating in the Triple Crown in one way or another thus far, you would think that most handicappers of this contest might have a good sense of which colt should be a "shoo-in." Not so. This is an open race to say the least... and it should be a good one. Without a doubt, this is one of the most unpredictable Belmont contests in recent years. I believe a serious handicapper (I consider myself one) can make a winning case for at least 6 or 7 of the 12.
One of the greatest unknowns is the overseas entry. Clearly, this colt likes to win and will likely be a favorite. Somebody spent some money to get him into this race. So, I'm throwing #11 Epicharis out (except as a "saver" with my key) with so little to go on.
Two colts that rank high with the WATT program are #2 Tapwrit and #7 Irish War Cry. The program also highlights the talents of #10 Multiplier which apparently likes to run down tired horses (not a Belmont trait, but, hey, this is horse racing). In my opinion, one colt that has yet to run to his God-given potential is #12 Patch. He ran second in the La. Derby after being bumped and did not like mud in his face in the Ky. Derby. I like his sire, Union Rags and with only four races, he's not in the numbers YET... but at this price, why not?.
So, make my selection(s) #12 Patch to win, #7 Irish War Cry to place, and #2 Tapwrit to show. Bet the house? Not my house. If you are playing the exotics, I would not omit Santa Anita Derby winner #3 Gormley. If he runs close to the pace, and he probably will, he could be a serious contender.
Should be a great race to watch.
Now THAT was one helluva day!
#2 Taprit won, #7 Irish War Cry finished second, and #12 Patch was third. #3 Gormley was fourth. This race made up for my so-so showings in the first two legs of the 2017 Triple Crown!
#2 paid #12.60 to win, the 2-7 exacta paid $45.20, and the 2-7-12 trifecta returned $624 (assuming my top three picks had been boxed with $12). Personally, I don't play superfectas, but it's worth noting that a 10 cent superfecta of 2-7-12-3 paid $224.30.
As for the rest of the card, shame on you if you missed the $57 winner in the 10th race and the $256 exacta in the 12th race. And there were a few other opportunities. I like the Belmont when it's not raining. So far, this racing season is going very well.
Jeff Little, Publisher
Attention: WATT Handicappers
The WATT Wizard is a new feature at the Tout Corner. Periodically, "key horse" possibilities will be posted here. Below are a few e-Reports that explain many handicapping ideas for those who use the WATT program - and for those who don't.
The World's First Web-based Handicapping Program!
Jeff Little, Publisher
I'm using my iPad and handicapped Santa Anita. I'm in heaven!
Sitemap to HorseRacingUSA.com
Handicapping Rules to Consider
1. Your Key Horse will be among the three highest PM-Rated horses 85-90% of the time.
2. One of the two Pacesetters will be in the exacta about 50% of the time
3. Look for "Talent Gaps" among your top three or four.
4. Question any Key Horse that has not run the "Race Minimum" in its last three races.
5. The first Contender selection is highly reliable using the new interactive program.
6. Avoid MSW and Maiden Claiming races featuring more than three first-time starters.
Perhaps there should be a rule #7 ... Maintain a positive attitude. Scared money rarely wins at the race track. There are many external factors that could influence the way your day unfolds. One of the best cartoonists of our day, the late Jeff MacNelly, presents one of them here:
The Tout Corner
Suggestion, idea, tip? Contact the Publisher!
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